FUTURES

Libro de Prospectiva y Estrategia de los profesores Javier Medina y Edgar Ortegón. Excelente manual que nos permitirá un acercamiento a la prospectiva y a la estrategia.

In the course of a two-year project, the EPO interviewed
around 150 key players - including critics - from the fields of science,
business, politics, ethics, economics and law, seeking their opinions on how
intellectual property and patenting might evolve over the next fifteen to
twenty years. Four scenarios - relevant and plausible stories about the future - were
developed in a series of workshops from their answers.

Each scenario examines the future from a different perspective:

Market Rules (business)

The story of consolidation in the face of a system that has
been so successful that it is collapsing under its own weight

Whose Game? (geopolitics)

The story of conflict in the face of changing geopolitical
balances and competing ambitions

Trees of Knowledge (society)

The story of erosion in the face of diminishing societal
trust

Blue Skies (technology)

The story of differentiation in the face of global systemic
crises

Read

• about the background to the project
• about the process
  
  
  
  
  
• about the discussions at the European Patent Forum
  
  
  
  
  
• the open-ended interviews
  
  
• the detailed interviews
  
  
• selected pages from the compendium
  
  
• the whole "Scenarios for the Future" compendium as a bookmarked PDF
• a selection of articles and comments about the Scenarios
  
  
• about other scenarios
  
  

332 - Futures and Foresight PDF Document
Four page POSTnote, May 2009
In 2007, the Commons Public Administration Select Committee (PASC) suggested that Parliament strengthen its capacity to think ahead and engage with outside experts and the wider public. This POSTnote examines the key characteristics of futures work and its current use by governments and parliaments. It covers futures work at national and local levels, and the extent to which it needs to consider social and other trends alongside developments in science and technology.