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Tuesday, March 31, 2015

European Foresight fiches - opportunities to 2030 

The Future of Europe is Science – high-level conference

6-7 October 2014, Lisbon
This two-day conference was opened by José Manuel Barroso, President of the European Commission.
Bringing together actors from the world of science, industry and society, the conference aimed to take stock of European achievements in science over the past 10 years. World-class scientists have debated with industrialists and political figures on key questions:
How will we keep healthy? How are we going to live, learn, work and interact in the future? How will we produce and consume and how will we manage resources?
Over the course of the two days, the role science, technology and innovation can play in societal well-being and its potential to stimulate growth, jobs and business development opportunities for Europe has been discussed.
Further information
Related documentation

Thursday, February 19, 2015

NBER paper:- Robots Are Us: Some Economics of Human Replacement 

Robots Are Us: Some Economics of Human Replacement

Seth G. Benzell, Laurence J. Kotlikoff, Guillermo LaGarda, Jeffrey D. Sachs

NBER Working Paper No. 20941
Issued in February 2015
NBER Program(s):   EFG   LS   PE   PR
Will smart machines replace humans like the internal combustion engine replaced horses? If so, can putting people out of work, or at least out of good work, also put the economy out of business? Our model says yes. Under the right conditions, more supply produces, over time, less demand as the smart machines undermine their customer base. Highly tailored skill- and generation-specific redistribution policies can keep smart machines from immiserating humanity. But blunt policies, such as mandating open-source technology, can make matters worse.
download in pdf format
   (3602 K)
email paper
This paper is available as PDF (3602 K) or via email.

Wednesday, February 18, 2015

Reinventing the Company in the Digital Age 

the BBVA book Reinventing the Company in the Digital Age is now available for free download on the OpenMind web.

https://www.bbvaopenmind.com/en/book/reinventing-the-company-in-the-digital-age/

Chpaters are:
From Deconstruction
to Big Data: How Technology is Reshaping the Corporation
Philip Evans
Boston Consulting Group

Big Data and the
Future of Business
Kenneth Cukier
The Economist

The Nature of the
Firm—75 Years Later
Geoffrey Moore
Geoffrey Moore Consulting

Business Models, Information Technology, and the Company
of the Future
Haim Mendelson
Stanford University

Reinventing Marketing
in the Digital Era
George S. Day
Wharton Business School

The Rise of the New Multinationals
Esteban García-Canal
Universidad de Oviedo
Mauro F. Guillén
The Lauder Institute, Wharton School

Business Models for the
Companies of the Future
Joan E. Ricart
IESE Business School

If It’s Innovation You Want,
Think About Job Quality
Chris Warhurst
Sally Wright
University of Warwick

Diversity and Tribal Thinking
in the Collaborative Organization
Celia de Anca
Salvador Aragón
IE Business School

A Gender Power Shift in the Making
Alison Maitland
London Cass Business School

Implications of the Revolution
in Work and Family
Stewart D. Friedman
The Wharton School,
University of Pennsylvania

New Ways of Working in the Company of the Future
Peter Thomson
Henley Business School

A Single Building and a
Multifaceted Town: BBVA, Madrid,
a Workplace for the Future
Herzog & de Meuron
Architects

New Workplaces: Promoting
a Culture of Collaborative Work
The BBVA New Headquarters Team

Tuesday, January 06, 2015

21st century studies - from 1989 

UNESCO held a conference on 21st century studies, with global and national studies presented.
Many records are at http://www.unesco.org/new/en/unesco/resources/online-materials/publications/unesdoc-database/
from which I extract:
International Meeting on 21st Century Studies; 2nd; Washington; 1989
National studies: Europe; United Kingdom, Ireland, Iceland, Portugal, Poland, European environmental policies;Proceedings of the Second International Meeting on 21st Century Studies, v. 4: National studies: Europe; Reflection on world problems and future-oriented studies: Major Programme I
Studies and documents on Major Programme I; 55
Publ: 1989; (281 p. in various pagings), illus., maps*; BEP/GPI/55; BEP.89/WS/16.More
International Meeting on 21st Century Studies; 2nd; Washington; 1989
National studies: Asia and Pacific; Turkey, India, Japan, Thailand, Korea, China, Australia;Proceedings of the Second International Meeting on 21st Century Studies, v. 3: National studies: Asia and Pacific; Reflection on world problems and future-oriented studies: Major Programme I
Studies and documents on Major Programme I; 54
Publ: 1989; (175 p. in various pagings)*; BEP/GPI/54; BEP.89/WS/15.More
International Meeting on 21st Century Studies; 2nd; Washington; 1989
National studies: America; USA, Canada, Costa Rica, Colombia, Mexico;Proceedings of the Second International Meeting on 21st Century Studies, v. 2: National studies: America; Reflection on world problems and future-oriented studies: Major Programme I
Studies and documents on Major Programme I; 53
Publ: 1989; (180 p. in various pagings), illus.*; BEP/GPI/53; BEP.89/WS/14.More
International Meeting on 21st Century Studies; 2nd; Washington; 1989
Global studies: peace, development, environment; Proceedings of the Second International Meeting on 21st Century Studies, v. 1: Global studies
Studies and documents on Major Programme I; 52
Publ: 1989; 259 p., illus.*; BEP/GPI/52; BEP.89/WS/13.More

Tuesday, December 30, 2014

21st century studies 

Historic information on what futurists were projecting for this century, around 40 years ago...
http://unesdoc.unesco.org/images/0008/000851/085121eb.pdf


Thursday, May 22, 2014

Strategy Unit 

Gone now, but still available is this valuable Archive of Publications
The Strategy Unit publishes a range of documents, including reports, discussion papers, analytical papers and consultation documents. The Unit's outputs also contribute to published reports and papers of other government departments.

2009

November

  • Skills for growth: the national skills strategy, support to BIS in developing the new skills strategy, setting out the strategy for a system that provides higher level of vocational technical experience, with special emphasis on the expansion of apprenticeships, more emphasis on strategic skill needs in key sectors and more responsiveness to learners and employers needs.
  • An analysis of urban transport reviews the challenges and opportunities for transport in urban areas.  It finds that the impact of transport on the people that live and work in cities goes beyond the benefits of mobility and the economic consequences of congestion.

July

June

May

April

March

January

2008

December

November

August

  • Report summary [PDF 750KB, 24 pages] of the Cabinet Office June 2008 publication Excellence and fairness: Achieving world class public services - 1 August 2008.

July

June

March

February

January

2007

December

June

May

March

February

January

Four papers published as background to the individual strands of the Policy Review on 16th January 2007:

2006

November

October

September

July

June

March

January

2005

October

July

March

February

January


2004

July

June

May

April

March

February

January


2003

December

November

October

September

July

June

May

March


2002

December

November

September

June

April

March

February


2001

December

November

May

April

March

February

January


2000

September

July

June

April

February

Jan


1999

December

September

May


Monday, April 28, 2014

Guide to Wicked Problems 

ShiftN do lots of good futures work.

http://www.shiftn.com/

This report:

http://www.kbs-frb.be/publication.aspx?id=303257&langtype=1033
Acknowledging the existence of wicked problems means admitting to face societal challenges for which no definitive answer exists. Wicked problems are structurally complex so that it is hard to say where a given problem stops and another one begins. And stakeholders will frame these challenges in different ways so that a one-size-fits-all solution is highly unlikely. Thinking in terms of wicked problems opens up a novel repertoire of strategies to come to grips with these issues.

The report guides you through three approaches, five methodologies and seven rules of thumb.

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